Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren Prediction – 10 October 2026

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren prediction for the Scottish Premiership match on Saturday, 10 October 2026: our tip is Heart Of Midlothian to win (1), 1.47 odd. Below you find the recent form, head-to-head record and the key numbers behind it. More games: best tip today.

Scottish Premiership
Regular Season – 8
Heart Of Midlothian
VS
ST Mirren
Saturday, 10 October 202614:00 UTCTynecastle Park · Edinburgh
Our Tip
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN 1 1.47 odd
Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren prediction · Scottish Premiership · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · odds Pinnacle · 18+

Hearts have won three of their last five matches and sit comfortably ahead of St Mirren in recent form, while the visitors are struggling with just one win in their last five. The head-to-head record favours Hearts at home, making this a fixture where Edinburgh's momentum should count.

Heart Of Midlothian3W 1D 1L last 5GF 10 · GA 5
Recent H2H2 – 2 – 1
ST Mirren1W 1D 3L last 5GF 5 · GA 9

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren Prediction & Tip

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren prediction: Heart Of Midlothian to win (1), 1.47 odd

Match outlook: Heart Of Midlothian to win · Confidence: High

Goals: no clear lean either way (both teams together average 2.9 goals per match in recent games).

Heart Of Midlothian took 10 of a possible 15 points in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded); ST Mirren took 4 of 15 (5 scored, 9 conceded). In their last 5 meetings Heart Of Midlothian won 2, ST Mirren won 1 and 2 ended level.

Form-based outlook from each side’s last matches and their head-to-head record. It is a statistical lean, not a guarantee and not betting advice.

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Key Factors

FACTOR

Hearts won 3 of their last 5 matches; St Mirren won only 1 of their last 5

DEFENCE

Hearts have conceded just 5 goals in their last 5 games, while St Mirren have conceded 9

H2H

Hearts lead the head-to-head record 2 wins to 1 (plus 2 draws) from their last 5 meetings

FACTOR

Hearts have won both of their recent home matches against St Mirren (2-0 and 3-1)

FACTOR

St Mirren's away record in recent meetings shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Scottish Premiership Round 8

Hearts and St Mirren meet in the eighth round of the Scottish Premiership season. This is a matchup between two sides at very different points in their campaign momentum, with Hearts building on recent success while St Mirren are fighting to turn around a difficult spell.

Hearts riding a wave, St Mirren struggling

Hearts have picked up 10 points from their last five matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) with a strong goal record of 10 scored and just 5 conceded. That defensive solidity is notable. St Mirren, by contrast, have managed only 4 points from their last five (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), scoring 5 goals while leaking 9. The gap in recent form is stark: Hearts are moving in the right direction, St Mirren are heading the opposite way.

Heart Of Midlothian
DLWWW
10PTS
10GF
5GA
GOOD FORM
ST Mirren
LLLWD
4PTS
5GF
9GA
WEAK FORM
Form Points
Heart Of Midlothian10
ST Mirren4

Hearts' home advantage in the head-to-head

The two sides have met five times recently. Hearts lead the head-to-head 2 wins to 1, with 2 draws. Crucially, Hearts have won both of their recent home matches against St Mirren: a 2-0 victory on 14 January and a 3-1 win on 26 February. St Mirren's last meeting at Tynecastle was a 3-1 defeat, so they face a difficult task at a ground where Hearts have recently dominated. The most recent encounter was a 1-0 home win for St Mirren in February, but that is their only win in the last five meetings.

Heart Of Midlothian 2Draws 2ST Mirren 1
3 FEB 2026 · PREMIERSHIP
ST Mirren1 : 0Heart Of Midlothian
ST MIRREN WIN
14 JAN 2026 · PREMIERSHIP
Heart Of Midlothian2 : 0ST Mirren
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN WIN
29 OCT 2025 · PREMIERSHIP
ST Mirren2 : 2Heart Of Midlothian
DRAW
16 AUG 2025 · LEAGUE CUP
ST Mirren1 : 1Heart Of Midlothian
DRAW
26 FEB 2025 · PREMIERSHIP
Heart Of Midlothian3 : 1ST Mirren
HEART OF MIDLOTHIAN WIN

Hearts favoured on multiple fronts

Hearts come into this match with a clear advantage across several key areas. Their recent form is substantially stronger—three wins in five compared to St Mirren's one—and they have built a defensive record that suggests they can keep the visitors at bay. At home, the head-to-head record runs further in Hearts' favour: two wins and no defeats in their last two Tynecastle meetings. St Mirren, meanwhile, are in a difficult moment: three losses in their last five matches and a concerning goal-difference problem (9 conceded in 5 games). While St Mirren showed they can compete with a 1-0 win in their most recent fixture, that result came at their own ground; away form has been a weakness, with just 1 win in 5 recent outings. Hearts' momentum, defensive stability, and home record all point to them being well-positioned to extend their good run, though St Mirren's ability to produce isolated positive results means they cannot be entirely written off.

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